Crypto index ETFs will dominate 2026 because the SEC is about to break the single-asset model

US spot crypto ETFs have attracted more than $70 billion in net inflows since January 2024, making traditional financial investment vehicles the primary entry point for new money into the emerging industry.

That surge, driven by products linked to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and more recently Solana and XRP, has validated the industry’s view that many investors will buy crypto only through regulated structures they already use for stocks and bonds.

Notably, Schwab Asset Management recently found that 45% of ETF investors plan to purchase crypto ETFs, a figure that now ties with interest in bond ETFs.

However, with the SEC expected to clear more than 100 additional crypto ETFs next year, wealth managers face a new problem. Due to this wave of products, their decision will move from a simple “own Bitcoin or not” question to picking which of dozens of single-asset products might lead the next cycle.

In a recent interview, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan pointed out this difficulty, while noting that many traditional investors have no strong view on decentralization or on “Ethereum versus Solana” and instead want broad market exposure.

However, that has become harder to achieve as the lineup shifts from a few flagship Bitcoin ETFs to a crowded shelf of narrowly focused products that demand a level of due diligence many advisory platforms are not built to handle.

The crypto index solution

Market observers believe that this growing complexity of single-asset choices will push investors toward crypto index ETPs, which package baskets of tokens into a single listed security.

Notably, the category gained structural footing in September when Grayscale launched the Grayscale CoinDesk Crypto 5 ETF, described as the first multi-asset crypto fund in the United States.

Since then, issuers have rolled out Bitwise’s BITW, 21Shares’ FTSE Crypto 10 Index ETF (TTOP) and its ex-Bitcoin version (TXBC), along with competing products from Hashdex and Franklin Templeton.

Roxanna Islam, head of sector and industry research at VettaFi, said the evolution resembles the way equity investors often move from individual stocks to broad index funds as an asset class matures.

Islam added that the new funds reflect a growing preference among advisors for simple portfolio building blocks.

Nate Geraci, President of Nova Dius Wealth, agreed, noting he is “highly bullish” on demand for these baskets as they offer a one-click solution for allocators looking to bypass the noise of individual token selection.

The mechanics

Most multi-asset crypto index products end up owning a very similar mix of coins.

Their rulebooks typically start with free-float market capitalization and basic liquidity filters, which naturally push most of the weight into Bitcoin and ETH, leaving only small allocations for everything else.

Grayscale’s Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) is a case in point. According to its data, the fund holds roughly three-quarters of its portfolio in Bitcoin and about 15% in Ethereum, with the remainder split into single-digit stakes: around 5% in XRP, just under 3% in Solana, and a little more than half a percent in Cardano.

Meanwhile, a holdings comparison compiled by Bloomberg illustrates how systematic the funds’ holdings can be.

Looking across six of the main crypto baskets, including products from Grayscale, Bitwise, and Hashdex, Solana and Cardano appear in every lineup.

Cardano’s presence across all the funds is surprising, given that it lacks a dedicated US spot ETF and lags higher-profile rivals such as Solana and Ethereum in both performance and mindshare.

So, its presence across these funds can be linked to its market value and trading depth. According to CryptoSlate’s data, Cardano is the 10th-largest crypto asset by market capitalization, with a market cap of over $13 billion.

This qualifies the token for a small but steady share of passive flows even as market attention moves elsewhere.

The challenges

The simplicity of a single-ticker crypto index fund often comes at a price for investors.

For context, many of the products charge fees north of 0.5% a year, compared with roughly 0.25% on spot Bitcoin ETFs and single-digit basis points on broad equity trackers.

That spread is effectively the cost of outsourcing rebalancing, and in digital-asset markets, rebalancing is rarely frictionless.

This is because liquidity drops quickly once a portfolio moves beyond the top three or four tokens, and index providers publish both their methodologies and review calendars.

As a result, professional traders can see when funds will be forced to buy or sell. When those flows are predictable, these traders can position against them, leaving index vehicles to buy into strength and sell into weakness to stay in line with their benchmarks.

Moreover, the basket construction creates a risk profile that does not align with what many advisors expect from equity indices.

Usually, investors tend to assume that a diversified sleeve is safer than a concentrated position. Yet historical data often show that Bitcoin exhibits lower volatility than smart-contract platforms such as Ethereum and Solana.

So, because most large-cap crypto indices are market-cap weighted, Bitcoin still accounts for most of the exposure. As a result, smaller allocations to Ethereum, Solana, and other tokens add a higher beta rather than a defensive offset.

In rising markets, that mix can help a basket outperform a Bitcoin-only holding. However, during market downturns, it can cause the index product to fall faster than the asset underlying it.

What should we expect in 2026?

Despite the current preference for single-asset “winners,” the 2026 pipeline shows issuers are betting that behavior will change.

Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst James Seyffart expects crypto index ETPs to be a primary category for asset gathering next year.

Considering this, if US crypto ETF flows in 2026 match this year’s pace, which has already seen more than $47 billion in net inflows according to CoinShares, the CryptoSlate model estimates that a bundling shift from single-stock picking to diversified beta could direct between 2% and 10% of that total into index products.

On that baseline, the implied range for crypto index ETF inflows looks like this:

Islam believes this shift will happen out of necessity. She said:

“We will potentially see more inflows into crypto index ETFs as the number of crypto products becomes too overwhelming to easily perform comparative due diligence.”

In that scenario, the winners of 2026 are unlikely to be the funds with the flashiest short-term returns, but the ones that secure slots in major advisory firms’ model portfolios, where allocations become embedded and flows systematic.

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